Market · 7 of 9 outcomes
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jiasss0x01fe…3223 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | — |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 3,333 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| happy1110xa09a…2b5d | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 610 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| golfs20050x4299…3722 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$19.92 per $100 · 391 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 300 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.