Market · 2 of 9 outcomes
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 10:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SteveTheFish0xe917…9612 | Yes | 3,321 | 22.3¢ | $980 | — |
| Hauchn0xf0ca…66ed | Yes | 2,271 | 20.1¢ | $670 | Positive+$28.32 per $100 · 235 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| donthackme0x0380…073d |
| No |
| 251 |
| 73.8¢ |
| $177 |
| Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,953 bets |
| GenaTheBondKilIer0xd632…8afb | Yes | 339 | 0.0¢ | $100 | — |
| Machaon0xe3e4…8d04 | Yes | 286 | 22.0¢ | $84 | — |
| robertoo0xadaf…6eb9 | No | 119 | 84.5¢ | $84 | — |
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.