Market · 4 of 9 outcomes
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 09:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dlbbbdbdbdblw0x369a…0b41 | No | 822 | 92.9¢ | $818 | New35 settled bets |
| C.PM0x71a3…3fb4 | No | 85 | 99.2¢ | $85 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 22 |
| 98.2¢ |
| $22 |
| — |
| cxl30x91a4…ecaa | No | 22 | 99.3¢ | $21 | — |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 3,410 | 1.2¢ | $17 | — |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 846 | 6.4¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 9 outcomes add up to 98.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.