Market · 4 of 9 outcomes
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 10:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dlbbbdbdbdblw0x369a…0b41 | No | 822 | 92.9¢ | $818 | New35 settled bets |
| C.PM0x71a3…3fb4 | No | 85 | 99.2¢ | $85 | — |
| K490320xd881…5abf | No | 22 | 98.2¢ | $22 | — |
| cxl30x91a4…ecaa | No | 22 | 99.3¢ | $21 | — |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 3,410 | 1.2¢ | $17 | — |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 846 | 6.4¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| 0x5250…b975 | No | 4 | 100.1¢ | $4 | New10 settled bets |
| C63Luis0x7c59…b8e9 | No | 4 | 99.6¢ | $3 | — |
| Olka0x5849…a99e | Yes | 573 | 0.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$16.54 per $100 · 3,081 bets |
| GenaTheBondKilIer0xd632…8afb | Yes | 282 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 264 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,953 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 256 | 5.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.79 per $100 · 111,933 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 253 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 213 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 206 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.86 per $100 · 30,631 bets |
| Romiche220x7ed0…9c4f | Yes | 180 | 8.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$7.46 per $100 · 3,310 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 168 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.78 per $100 · 18,517 bets |
| 0x0731…4245 | Yes | 154 | 6.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 154 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.40 per $100 · 18,596 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 100 | 3.3¢ | $1 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 46 | 4.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.93 per $100 · 8,497 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 96.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 74,490 bets |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | — |
| jimmyTrade0x4a92…85e5 | Yes | 34 | 3.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.64 per $100 · 675 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 34 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.49 per $100 · 125,659+ bets · updating |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 34 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.18 per $100 · 11,552 bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 33 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.70 per $100 · 3,484 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 33 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.70 per $100 · 128,785 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3783…36d2 | Yes | 20 | 11.4¢ | $0 | — |
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 20 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfec4…cfc8 | Yes | 20 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 12 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$514.17 per $100 · 51,461 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.