Market · 3 of 9 outcomes
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 04:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 675 | 88.0¢ | $617 | Positive+$5.51 per $100 · 88,299 bets |
| biloute0x2ab0…95fb | No | 353 | 84.7¢ | $323 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Hauchn0xf0ca…66ed | Yes | 2,210 | 10.2¢ | $188 | Positive+$28.32 per $100 · 235 bets |
| SteveTheFish0xe917…9612 | Yes | 1,383 | 13.7¢ | $118 | — |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | Yes | 1,000 | 23.0¢ | $85 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 495 bets |
| nnss0x93ca…4472 | No | 60 | 84.5¢ | $54 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 51 | 88.0¢ | $47 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| seehi0x4451…fcbe | Yes | 500 | 10.0¢ | $43 | Losing−$7.92 per $100 · 360 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 394 | 3.3¢ | $33 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,823 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 361 | 15.5¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 131,953 bets |
| marcopolosrhino0x8d02…2753 | Yes | 242 | 21.3¢ | $21 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 591 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 149 | 24.0¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 66,097 bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 148 | 24.0¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | Yes | 135 | 14.2¢ | $11 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 126 | 12.8¢ | $11 | Positive+$6.94 per $100 · 30,388 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No | 11 | 88.4¢ | $10 | Losing−$7.59 per $100 · 413,156+ bets · updating |
| smarttradder0xea28…3a0b | Yes | 100 | 11.0¢ | $9 | — |
| mmtrading0x5a0c…9db8 | Yes | 91 | 10.4¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 14,884 bets |
| bukrprot0xf3e6…9139 | Yes | 63 | 26.2¢ | $5 | — |
| winnertakeitall0xa960…aef8 | Yes | 62 | 11.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xc7fb…f458 | Yes | 59 | 17.6¢ | $5 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 55 | 3.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x5250…b975 | No | 4 | 89.8¢ | $4 | New10 settled bets |
| GenaTheBondKilIer0xd632…8afb | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $3 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 34 | 3.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$11.18 per $100 · 11,552 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 20 | 12.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 28,079 bets |
| imagineall0x5ba8…2bdf | Yes | 20 | 24.0¢ | $2 | — |
| df4440xa68d…e03b | Yes | 20 | 26.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xfec4…cfc8 | Yes | 20 | 0.0¢ | $2 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 20 | 13.0¢ | $2 | — |
| askn0xc8d7…713d | Yes | 16 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 14 | 10.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| Bobishensuan0x3581…67b3 | Yes | 9 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 7 | 27.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 14,006 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 5 | 13.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,507 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | 5 | 24.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.04 per $100 · 4,142 bets |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 0 | 88.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | No | 0 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 1 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | No | 0 | 91.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.02 per $100 · 7,995 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 90.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.70 per $100 · 128,686 bets |
| Dapsy0x73d2…f9b7 | No | 0 | 78.0¢ | $0 | — |
| realmgow0x8526…8d34 | Yes | 0 | 25.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.28 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 0 | 16.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.