Market · 6 of 9 outcomes
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 10:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 811 | 3.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,953 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 804 | 3.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 59,436+ bets · updating |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 749 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,519 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 610 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 431 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.93 per $100 · 8,497 bets |
| golfs20050x4299…3722 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$19.92 per $100 · 391 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 206 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.86 per $100 · 30,631 bets |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 201 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 12,696 bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 177 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 168 | 2.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.78 per $100 · 18,517 bets |
| 0x9afd…c377 | Yes | 160 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 150 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.93 per $100 · 8,020 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 149 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 130 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.70 per $100 · 128,785 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 125 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 100 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 98 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 95 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 85 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.48 per $100 · 83,241 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 85 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 42,210+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 57 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 40 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| GenaTheBondKilIer0xd632…8afb | Yes | 40 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 34 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.18 per $100 · 11,552 bets |
| 3874110074156118140922178973870xa49b…7054 | Yes | 32 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 43,926 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 30 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.79 per $100 · 111,933 bets |
| fourcoin15m0x0629…501d | Yes | 28 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.87 per $100 · 22,732 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 21 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.49 per $100 · 125,659+ bets · updating |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 20 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 20 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| 0xeb68…e362 | Yes | 16 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 16 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 12 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| AndrewDelph0x86d0…2cb5 | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 4 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.48 per $100 · 15,300 bets |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 4 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 1 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 160,136 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.