Market · 5 of 9 outcomes
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 02:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jozeslemsek0xd0bf…9f9f | Yes | 2,325 | 0.1¢ | $7 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 590 | 3.3¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| testingjp0x8592…c329 | Yes | 400 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| doil0xf294…7967 | Yes | 295 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| akko1230x403d…b04d | Yes | 286 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 240 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 186 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.94 per $100 · 30,388 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 168 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
| 0x2532…62ea | Yes | 167 | 0.6¢ | $1 | New11 settled bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| golfs20050x4299…3722 | Yes | 141 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.92 per $100 · 391 bets |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | Yes | 140 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 1,110 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 130 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,627 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 103 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 7,461 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 100 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 87 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0xeb68…e362 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 50 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 88,197 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 34 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$11.18 per $100 · 11,552 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 30 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 20 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| poluser20260x40a7…91c9 | Yes | 17 | 0.8¢ | $0 | New14 settled bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 15 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,476+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 10 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,739 bets |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 9 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| E20Lowa091mxlc1ascb838x0x1699…39ef | Yes | 3 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 3 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.73 per $100 · 59,108+ bets · updating |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 0 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.02 per $100 · 7,995 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Largest-company ranking · Dec 31 · 2 events · $507K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.