Market · 7 of 8 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 6.6¢ | +6.2 pts |
| $10,000 | 22.8¢ | +22.3 pts |
| $100,000 | 54.8¢ | +54.3 pts |
| $500,000 | 72.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 0¢.
About $14 can be bought and $99 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 0.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 13:23 UTC.
Brazil Presidential Runoff Margin · 2026 · 1 event · $151K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.