Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 49.3¢ | +12.8 pts |
| $10,000 | 68.7¢ | +32.2 pts |
| $100,000 | 87.7¢ | +51.2 pts |
| $500,000 | 92.2¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 36¢.
About $126 can be bought and $1.4K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 36.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 02:05 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play