Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 52.1¢ | +11.6 pts |
| $10,000 | 75.0¢ | +34.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 89.0¢ | +48.5 pts |
| $500,000 | 92.9¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 39¢.
About $143 can be bought and $659 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 40.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 06:05 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play