Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 53.9¢ | +14.9 pts |
| $10,000 | 76.5¢ | +37.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 89.3¢ | +50.3 pts |
| $500,000 | 93.0¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 38¢.
About $41 can be bought and $499 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 39.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 04:03 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play