Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 53.0¢ | +12.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 75.6¢ | +35.1 pts |
| $100,000 | 89.1¢ | +48.6 pts |
| $500,000 | 92.9¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 39¢.
About $79 can be bought and $682 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 40.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 06:02 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play