Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | No | 203 | 79.0¢ | $167 | — |
| sunnynotbunny0x4d02…2ad3 | No | 75 | 80.0¢ | $62 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 317 | 21.5¢ | $56 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| Jnf170x802e…db63 | No | 50 | 72.2¢ | $41 | — |
| Carabao0x24bf…b12e | No | 20 | 85.0¢ | $16 | — |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 20 | 80.3¢ | $16 | Losing−$6.72 per $100 · 933 bets |
| asd560xda65…e87e | Yes | 40 | 20.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 30 | 20.5¢ | $5 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 27 | 21.7¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| thesciencecat0xc04a…e3ae | No | 5 | 95.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Specialist2003030xfad9…f138 | Yes | 20 | 15.2¢ | $4 | — |
| llh18180x8405…8f6f | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $4 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 20 | 19.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 10 | 20.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 0xccd1…c7b6 | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 1 | 79.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.