Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 89.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $10,000 | 89.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $100,000 | 89.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 89.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $5 can be bought and $3 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 12.1¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 20:15 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.