230+

Full rules

As written on Polymarket for “Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?”.

1. §1This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from October 12, 2026, through October 18, 2026, inclusive.
2. §2Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
3. §3Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
4. §4This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
5. §5If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
6. §6In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.
7. §7Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.
8. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.