Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 44.9¢ | +40.7 pts |
| $10,000 | 80.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $100,000 | 80.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 80.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $7 can be bought and $2 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 4.1¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 06:32 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.