Market · 17 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
14 more outcomes in this event.
These 26 outcomes add up to 103.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $99 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 922 | 0.6¢ | $11 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| cicci0x2816…c473 | Yes | 100 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 85 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 85 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.