Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hymolu0x17e3…9ba5 | No | 70,000 | 85.2¢ | $65.4K | New70 settled bets |
| megaforest0xe172…e8e0 | No | 41,176 | 90.5¢ | $38.5K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| tennisclub0x479d…d469 | No | 38,872 | 83.5¢ | $36.3K | New40 settled bets |
| zthunderfury0xc682…17bb | No | 31,669 | 93.1¢ | $29.6K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 497 bets |
| Tigerofthehood0x9c26…74bc | No | 30,200 | 91.7¢ | $28.2K | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 237 bets |
| Alpheo0x7eaa…fd24 | No | 30,000 | 91.7¢ | $28K | New38 settled bets |
| DiaMat0x5ff7…f7f0 | No | 25,000 | 90.6¢ | $23.4K | New96 settled bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 23,227 | 93.1¢ | $21.7K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 790 bets |
| Bukaj08890x5be7…1b1d | No | 16,315 | 91.9¢ | $15.3K | Positive+$1.97 per $100 · 244 bets |
| nedsta0xf92a…a517 | No | 16,280 | 91.7¢ | $15.2K | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 466 bets |
| sabsabinxz0xd3ec…6603 | No | 15,603 | 84.7¢ | $14.6K | Proven+$23.86 per $100 · 101 bets |
| Jest550xd34b…0004 | No | 14,198 | 92.2¢ | $13.3K | Proven+$5.65 per $100 · 2,690 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 185,156 | 8.5¢ | $12K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| marchonnow0xfc04…4f75 | No | 11,502 | 93.5¢ | $10.8K | Break-even+$0.10 per $100 · 196 bets |
| gosouth0x1a24…c5dc | No | 10,174 | 86.9¢ | $9.51K | New15 settled bets |
| tr10000x8a8b…375c | No | 8,020 | 93.9¢ | $7.5K | Losing−$2.06 per $100 · 6,303 bets |
| browne0xbf96…9942 | No | 8,000 | 93.0¢ | $7.48K | Proven+$2.85 per $100 · 304 bets |
| sdhyky0x264c…baca | No | 7,000 | 90.3¢ | $6.54K | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 1,477 bets |
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | No | 6,413 | 92.4¢ | $6K | New56 settled bets |
| adonpoli0x0260…0d88 | No | 6,401 | 93.0¢ | $5.99K | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 391 bets |
| Everestpredictions0xceca…3f67 | No | 6,392 | 90.5¢ | $5.98K | Break-even−$0.24 per $100 · 817 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 6,284 | 94.3¢ | $5.88K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,971 bets |
| Vanquish0x4baf…5fdf | No | 5,759 | 92.0¢ | $5.39K | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 286 bets |
| Bukaj0x78ca…d326 | No | 5,412 | 92.4¢ | $5.06K | Proven+$2.58 per $100 · 141 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | No | 5,000 | 93.6¢ | $4.68K | Positive+$3.98 per $100 · 1,972 bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 3,897 | 92.4¢ | $3.64K | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| TheRealWarMonger0xe472…e7eb | No | 3,800 | 93.6¢ | $3.55K | Break-even−$0.18 per $100 · 699 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 3,000 | 93.7¢ | $2.81K | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 43,046 | 11.6¢ | $2.8K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 50388131850x453a…81d2 | Yes | 40,000 | 14.7¢ | $2.6K | Proven+$17.49 per $100 · 140 bets |
| Jin-20260x4b30…4b79 | No | 2,681 | 91.9¢ | $2.51K | New91 settled bets |
| betwick0xc851…cd2a | Yes | 32,929 | 9.0¢ | $2.14K | Proven+$5.31 per $100 · 770 bets |
| Ko-san-1230x8792…4174 | No | 2,264 | 93.0¢ | $2.12K | Proven+$7.12 per $100 · 818 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 2,229 | 85.0¢ | $2.08K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| 2KTrade0xbde4…6109 | No | 2,194 | 93.6¢ | $2.05K | New76 settled bets |
| CP-directional0x07e1…27af | No | 2,128 | 94.0¢ | $1.99K | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 142 bets |
| SupercubPA180x19a4…fa7a | No | 2,000 | 93.0¢ | $1.87K | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 417 bets |
| -Yang-0x43a6…8b32 | No | 2,000 | 89.7¢ | $1.87K | Proven+$7.85 per $100 · 427 bets |
| G.laila0xa092…11e3 | No | 2,000 | 93.0¢ | $1.87K | Break-even+$0.68 per $100 · 414 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 1,980 | 94.0¢ | $1.85K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| uraw0x8a4c…2c4c | No | 1,705 | 88.0¢ | $1.59K | Positive+$9.98 per $100 · 150 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,501 | 92.4¢ | $1.4K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,956 bets |
| zxdfbdfgngcxv0x57b0…76f4 | No | 1,500 | 92.0¢ | $1.4K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,947 bets |
| ThanksGivingTurkey10010xbace…3429 | No | 1,500 | 93.0¢ | $1.4K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 415 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 21,462 | 6.8¢ | $1.4K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| 52centis0xcb4c…6d64 | Yes | 19,995 | 8.5¢ | $1.3K | Losing−$12.98 per $100 · 182 bets |
| 0x36da…907b | No | 1,300 | 92.0¢ | $1.22K | Break-even−$0.98 per $100 · 399 bets |
| DontTrustMe0x0403…a7ee | No | 1,200 | 83.3¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$28.07 per $100 · 106 bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | No | 1,200 | 84.0¢ | $1.12K | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | No | 1,100 | 85.7¢ | $1.03K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| AlphaBetaGamma23570x5652…00c9 | Yes | 15,000 | 7.5¢ | $975 | Proven+$5.59 per $100 · 870 bets |
| AciliMeyvaSuyu0x01be…7586 | No | 1,040 | 89.0¢ | $972 | New60 settled bets |
| 0x7272…a67d | No | 1,000 | 79.0¢ | $935 | New73 settled bets |
| ZhouSir10x9876…1e66 | No | 1,000 | 89.0¢ | $935 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 213 bets |
| adenakoz10xb615…73cf | No | 1,000 | 86.0¢ | $935 | Proven+$21.35 per $100 · 1,988 bets |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | No | 1,000 | 87.0¢ | $935 | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | 12,080 | 13.1¢ | $785 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | Yes | 10,000 | 8.0¢ | $650 | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 10,000 | 16.0¢ | $650 | New6 settled bets |
| Phenium0xe9f2…ddd0 | Yes | 9,389 | 16.8¢ | $610 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 623 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 9,061 | 7.9¢ | $589 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| 0xdd8f…0af8 | Yes | 8,579 | 6.0¢ | $558 | New3 settled bets |
| Mecky0xa82b…5220 | Yes | 6,200 | 6.7¢ | $403 | Positive+$3.98 per $100 · 2,984 bets |
| 0xd640…480c | Yes | 5,609 | 6.9¢ | $365 | Losing−$32.74 per $100 · 775 bets |
| 0xc961…db04 | Yes | 5,458 | 18.7¢ | $355 | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 103 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 5,010 | 12.0¢ | $326 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| WutWut970x7bce…74c3 | Yes | 4,379 | 11.4¢ | $285 | New0 settled bets |
| asdfasdav0xe2a9…50cb | Yes | 4,276 | 15.6¢ | $278 | New48 settled bets |
| Cungly0x5ccf…79d7 | Yes | 4,193 | 8.8¢ | $273 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 1,627 bets |
| pieped0xf440…b009 | Yes | 4,000 | 9.0¢ | $260 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 179 bets |
| 0x87120xa676…1c22 | Yes | 4,000 | 10.0¢ | $260 | Break-even−$0.99 per $100 · 424 bets |
| vincentfire0x7144…6624 | Yes | 2,575 | 11.2¢ | $167 | New92 settled bets |
| yannick0x3d4a…621b | Yes | 2,500 | 13.0¢ | $162 | New92 settled bets |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | Yes | 2,400 | 13.2¢ | $156 | Proven+$10.80 per $100 · 1,660 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 2,231 | 11.1¢ | $145 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
| Lbr90x4a0e…bac9 | Yes | 2,000 | 8.0¢ | $130 | New95 settled bets |
| 0xzipper0xe397…bfcb | Yes | 2,000 | 13.0¢ | $130 | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 2,617 bets |
| michaelSlasher0x6fa1…1f74 | Yes | 1,800 | 13.7¢ | $117 | Proven+$10.96 per $100 · 211 bets |
| 0x3e59…b2be | Yes | 1,667 | 6.0¢ | $108 | Losing−$22.45 per $100 · 1,060 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | 1,500 | 10.7¢ | $97 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | 1,400 | 21.7¢ | $91 | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 3,042 bets |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 1,071 | 7.0¢ | $70 | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 563 bets |
| Diplopia20x272c…7f07 | Yes | 1,000 | 7.1¢ | $65 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 811 bets |
| alivedeer0xe0c5…913c | Yes | 1,000 | 7.0¢ | $65 | Losing−$12.71 per $100 · 427 bets |
| 0x097c…4b47 | Yes | 983 | 20.3¢ | $64 | New54 settled bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | Yes | 863 | 15.6¢ | $56 | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| 0xa957…50e4 | Yes | 834 | 12.0¢ | $54 | New18 settled bets |
| PhilIvey90xdde1…f1d7 | Yes | 823 | 10.0¢ | $54 | New96 settled bets |
| UncleFill0x1232…6158 | Yes | 700 | 13.0¢ | $46 | Losing−$24.97 per $100 · 444 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 700 | 6.8¢ | $46 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| amused850x8fe7…4f20 | Yes | 696 | 19.0¢ | $45 | Losing−$2.18 per $100 · 5,572 bets |
| 0x2cef…53f7 | Yes | 667 | 15.0¢ | $43 | New39 settled bets |
| Douglas898980x181c…fc82 | Yes | 500 | 21.0¢ | $33 | New56 settled bets |
| takeabreath0xbae1…89bd | Yes | 500 | 10.0¢ | $33 | New27 settled bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 500 | 6.0¢ | $32 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| Serega-pro0xcfb5…7d2d | Yes | 488 | 20.5¢ | $32 | — |
| estoicc0x738a…5996 | Yes | 445 | 20.0¢ | $29 | Proven+$21.08 per $100 · 758 bets |
| basmati0x184f…e0b2 | Yes | 419 | 23.8¢ | $27 | Losing−$34.22 per $100 · 102 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1.02K shares each side · Show
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