Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 7.4¢ | +0.9 pts |
| $10,000 | 8.5¢ | +2.0 pts |
| $100,000 | 31.9¢ | +25.4 pts |
| $500,000 | 37.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 6¢.
About $10.5K can be bought and $4.81K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 6.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 05:28 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
117 traders bet this week.