Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 7.5¢ | +1.0 pts |
| $10,000 | 8.5¢ | +2.0 pts |
| $100,000 | 32.7¢ | +26.2 pts |
| $500,000 | 40.7¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 6¢.
About $10.8K can be bought and $5.19K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 6.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 02:57 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
116 traders bet this week.