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The big real-world questions that many markets depend on. Open one to see every market on it, where the money sits and which way proven traders lean.
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The big real-world questions that many markets depend on. Open one to see every market on it, where the money sits and which way proven traders lean.
Share of the in play
| # | Topic | Category | Proven traders | Their money on it | In play | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iran conflict & Gulf shipping | Geopolitics | 391 | $10.8M | $31.6M | |
| 2 | US 2026 midterms | Politics | 358 | $8.05M | $33.7M | |
| 3 |
Live Polymarket data, read Oct 11, 2026, 15:30 UTC. Polyray is independent and not affiliated with Polymarket. Not financial advice.
| Russia–Ukraine war |
| Geopolitics |
| 273 | $2.55M |
| $16.4M |
| 4 | US Fed rate path | Macro | 179 | $2.51M | $8.43M |
| 5 | US 2028 presidential race | Politics | 259 | $2M | $62.2M |
| 6 | Bitcoin price | Crypto | 166 | $1.84M | $18.9M |
| 7 | Brazil Presidential Election 2026 | Politics | 121 | $1.66M | $4.63M |
| 8 | Soccer | Sports | 244 | $1.58M | $14.8M |
| 9 | Anthropic valuation & IPO | Tech | 176 | $1.55M | $5.19M |
| 10 | Ethereum price | Crypto | 78 | $1.2M | $7.75M |
| 11 | Trump tenure & Greenland | Politics | 111 | $1.15M | $4.32M |
| 12 | Israeli Legislative Election 2026 | Politics | 136 | $1.1M | $3.9M |
| 13 | China–Taiwan | Geopolitics | 109 | $1.08M | $13.3M |
| 14 | French Presidential Election | Politics | 82 | $941K | $3.32M |
| 15 | Premier League | Sports | 77 | $901K | $5.41M |
| 16 | Brazil Presidential Election | Politics | 81 | $825K | $4.96M |
| 17 | NFL | Sports | 100 | $712K | $13M |
| 18 | US Government Confirms Aliens | Other | 57 | $384K | $7.76M |
| 19 | Trump tenure & Greenland | Politics | 46 | $304K | $3.54M |