Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 88.9¢ | +0.1 pts |
| $10,000 | 88.9¢ | +0.1 pts |
| $100,000 | 89.4¢ | +0.6 pts |
| $500,000 | 89.9¢ | +1.1 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 89¢.
About $1.71M can be bought and $102K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so most bets get in close to it.
Measured from 88.8¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 03:31 UTC.
90 traders bet this week.
US 2026 midterms · 647 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.