Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | No | 667 | 68.5¢ | $457 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | No | 592 | 67.0¢ | $405 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 555 | 67.0¢ | $380 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 500 | 70.1¢ | $343 | — |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Yes | 1,000 | 31.2¢ | $314 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 374 | 67.6¢ | $256 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,264 bets |
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