Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | No | 1,000 | 97.1¢ | $959 | Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | No | 883 | 95.8¢ | $847 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 1,963 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 601 | 95.8¢ | $576 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,040 bets |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | No | 590 | 95.8¢ | $565 | Proven+$11.57 per $100 · 1,091 bets |
| 202606010xb36c…1077 | No | 459 | 96.4¢ | $441 | Proven+$4.69 per $100 · 216 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 200 | 96.1¢ | $192 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
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