Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 14.0¢ | +1.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 34.7¢ | +22.2 pts |
| $100,000 | 77.6¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 77.6¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 12¢.
About $1.73K can be bought and $1 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 12.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 11:59 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.