Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 24.8¢ | +7.3 pts |
| $10,000 | 58.5¢ | +41.0 pts |
| $100,000 | 86.0¢ | +68.5 pts |
| $500,000 | 86.0¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 17¢.
About $384 can be bought and $362 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 17.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 03:31 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.