Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 62.6¢ | +1.6 pts |
| $10,000 | 76.8¢ | +15.8 pts |
| $100,000 | 91.2¢ | +30.2 pts |
| $500,000 | 95.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 60¢.
About $2.14K can be bought and $1.16K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 61.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 19:45 UTC.
Bab el-Mandeb Ship Transits · Oct 12–18 · 3 events · $1.19M in play
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
45 traders bet this week.