Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 10,000 | 93.8¢ | $9.4K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 3,480 | 95.9¢ | $3.27K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xe41a…29bd | Yes | 3,000 | 96.6¢ | $2.82K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 2,065 | 94.9¢ | $1.94K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 1,249 | 92.0¢ | $1.17K | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 1,000 | 95.9¢ | $940 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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US 2026 midterms · 655 events · $32.2M in play