Marquita Bradshaw (D)

Decided by

The market resolves according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, including any run-offs.§1

Nominee replaced

If a named candidate is replaced as their party's nominee before election day, the contract name is updated and the market resolves based on the replacement…§6

Uncalled race

If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate, the market resolves based on the official certification.§9

Independent candidates

Candidates who run as independents are not covered by the "Democrat" or "Republican" options, whatever party affiliation they may have.§4

Other candidates

Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee, such as Greens, Libertarian or independent, may be added later.§3

Counted

The winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election; the party nominee is treated as representing that party.§2

Source

The Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.§7

Closes

Nov 4, 2026 · 04:59 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.

• Bill Hagerty (R) 94.0¢
• Marquita Bradshaw (D) 6.2¢

Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.