Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 11,022 | 94.3¢ | $10.4K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | No | 6,279 | 94.4¢ | $5.92K | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 16,271 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 2,632 | 94.2¢ | $2.48K | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | No | 1,621 | 95.1¢ | $1.53K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 1,125 | 92.8¢ | $1.06K | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 12,342 | 5.7¢ | $703 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| yukonboi0x250e…e864 | No | 500 | 92.0¢ | $472 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 6,628 | 7.9¢ | $378 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | No | 239 | 90.0¢ | $226 | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | No | 229 | 93.1¢ | $216 | — |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | No | 226 | 91.9¢ | $213 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa0xc4db…7e0c | No | 215 | 94.3¢ | $203 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 3,345 | 5.8¢ | $191 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 183 | 90.8¢ | $172 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | No | 150 | 91.8¢ | $141 | — |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | Yes | 1,753 | 8.0¢ | $100 | New3 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 100 | 95.4¢ | $94 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 1,221 | 4.8¢ | $70 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Klanto0x98e3…9208 | No | 73 | 92.8¢ | $69 | — |
| thisissocool110xecef…75fa | No | 60 | 94.1¢ | $57 | — |
| 0x149b…d435 | Yes | 862 | 10.0¢ | $49 | — |
| M.elena6780xb5d8…af42 | No | 51 | 90.8¢ | $49 | — |
| JishWa0xf1fc…0ec1 | No | 46 | 92.0¢ | $43 | Losing−$2.20 per $100 · 233 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 758 | 6.9¢ | $43 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,931 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 42 | 94.2¢ | $40 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 694 | 4.1¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 41 | 93.6¢ | $39 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Yes | 648 | 5.5¢ | $37 | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 35 | 91.0¢ | $33 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 525 | 4.4¢ | $30 | — |
| lexet0xbec4…b075 | No | 31 | 94.0¢ | $29 | — |
| amazingfrog0x5927…672b | No | 29 | 92.0¢ | $27 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | No | 28 | 90.1¢ | $27 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 455 | 5.4¢ | $26 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 25 | 94.6¢ | $24 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Paoul19920x3991…3d0f | No | 20 | 92.7¢ | $19 | — |
| prov1230xf143…4ef2 | No | 16 | 90.7¢ | $15 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 12 | 95.9¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 92.6¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 94.4¢ | $9 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 94.4¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x815a…af37 | Yes | 151 | 2.4¢ | $9 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 9 | 92.5¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 135 | 7.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| y4rrow0xf29b…961e | Yes | 118 | 9.2¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x7b82…8d9f | No | 6 | 98.5¢ | $6 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 6 | 92.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | Yes | 100 | 7.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 85 | 7.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 5 | 92.6¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 5 | 93.7¢ | $5 | — |
| JoeDirtBuffett0x0e93…0078 | Yes | 74 | 2.7¢ | $4 | Proven+$2.60 per $100 · 4,025 bets |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | 60 | 6.7¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 30,440+ bets · updating |
| 0xbdde…e54a | No | 3 | 92.7¢ | $3 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 40 | 7.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 2 | 91.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 30 | 9.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 2 | 92.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xaa4a…ad2f | Yes | 26 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| akla270x5993…a32d | No | 1 | 92.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$37.53 per $100 · 318 bets |
| 0x29f0…b56f | No | 1 | 92.5¢ | $1 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 20 | 6.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 20 | 6.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa327…06fd | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe600…a907 | No | 1 | 96.4¢ | $1 | — |
| berrari0x572c…cdbd | No | 1 | 91.0¢ | $1 | — |
| romanew-5-15p0x93e2…92b9 | Yes | 18 | 7.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb7ce…c7d3 | Yes | 15 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0926…befb | Yes | 11 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 10 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$10.47 per $100 · 49,814+ bets · updating |
| 0xed5b…8e60 | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| SaucePolly10x2869…527d | Yes | 9 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ZakazDostavlen0x34dc…08e9 | Yes | 8 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Guesswho2020x1b10…ce9e | Yes | 8 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PITON20260x2142…6b8c | Yes | 6 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| NotAnIdiot0xbceb…0049 | Yes | 5 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | Yes | 5 | 6.6¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 93.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| Lucifergotlucky0x53d5…d88c | Yes | 1 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1abc…45e7 | No | 0 | 93.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 0 | 2.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x203d…e00f | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 56sdfdsfs0x610e…b852 | Yes | 0 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xae26…e478 | Yes | 0 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 50000Harry0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| StevieKiwi0xe9f3…c4a6 | Yes | 0 | 6.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7fc6…0e19 | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| vahap0x9ff8…abd8 | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| FelicityBright0xda00…61b4 | Yes | 0 | 6.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 651 events · $32.2M in play