Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 10,000 | 93.8¢ | $9.4K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 3,480 | 95.9¢ | $3.27K | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0xe41a…29bd | Yes | 3,000 | 96.6¢ | $2.82K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 2,065 | 94.9¢ | $1.94K | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 1,249 | 92.0¢ | $1.17K | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 1,000 | 95.9¢ | $940 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 740 | 93.1¢ | $696 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,296 bets |
| TheFOMCGambler0x1693…5d20 | Yes | 629 | 94.4¢ | $591 | Proven+$16.41 per $100 · 184 bets |
| OmegaV20x7804…dbcc | Yes | 600 | 94.9¢ | $564 | — |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | Yes | 593 | 94.0¢ | $557 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 777 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 7,795 | 6.6¢ | $468 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| coshi0x3e71…f97b | Yes | 400 | 94.1¢ | $376 | New86 settled bets |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | 390 | 85.7¢ | $367 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | Yes | 314 | 91.5¢ | $295 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | No | 4,485 | 7.0¢ | $269 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| choclopolis0xd449…450f | Yes | 250 | 90.1¢ | $235 | — |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 250 | 92.4¢ | $235 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 3,708 | 7.0¢ | $222 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| varch010x0362…449e | Yes | 215 | 93.0¢ | $202 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 13,124 bets |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa0xc4db…7e0c | Yes | 215 | 94.1¢ | $202 | — |
| weonpol0x3f76…4dad | Yes | 210 | 95.5¢ | $197 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 189 | 89.0¢ | $178 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 177 | 93.1¢ | $167 | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 2,729 | 5.6¢ | $164 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 162 | 90.4¢ | $152 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,044 bets |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | Yes | 115 | 91.8¢ | $109 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 100 | 92.0¢ | $94 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 96 | 94.4¢ | $90 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | Yes | 92 | 92.4¢ | $86 | Losing−$2.03 per $100 · 1,687 bets |
| rafb0x99fe…5705 | Yes | 55 | 97.2¢ | $52 | — |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | No | 813 | 7.3¢ | $49 | New3 settled bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 94.2¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 25 | 91.1¢ | $24 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 348 | 7.3¢ | $21 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,278 bets |
| Vollhorst0xe3a6…8297 | Yes | 21 | 93.3¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xef3d…80e0 | Yes | 20 | 93.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 273 | 8.2¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| kaeltaslab0x1d8e…bb36 | Yes | 16 | 93.1¢ | $15 | — |
| yukonboi0x250e…e864 | Yes | 16 | 92.0¢ | $15 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 568 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 232 | 5.9¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 204 | 6.3¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | No | 189 | 7.6¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 30,440+ bets · updating |
| JoeDirtBuffett0x0e93…0078 | No | 182 | 2.8¢ | $11 | Proven+$2.60 per $100 · 4,025 bets |
| 0xf731…91ab | Yes | 11 | 93.0¢ | $10 | — |
| jipeng0xad70…036b | Yes | 10 | 97.3¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x7b82…8d9f | Yes | 10 | 98.3¢ | $10 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | Yes | 10 | 94.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| distance04690x6a9c…cc3d | Yes | 10 | 93.6¢ | $9 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | Yes | 10 | 94.0¢ | $9 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | Yes | 10 | 94.0¢ | $9 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | Yes | 10 | 92.1¢ | $9 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | Yes | 10 | 94.0¢ | $9 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 127 | 5.6¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 5 | 94.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| lovnil0xc67e…0e52 | Yes | 5 | 92.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xfa58…f3ab | Yes | 5 | 93.1¢ | $5 | — |
| szarruk0x677e…5d5a | No | 78 | 6.0¢ | $5 | New57 settled bets |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | No | 60 | 10.5¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 59 | 6.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| 0x1abc…45e7 | No | 58 | 7.1¢ | $3 | — |
| y4rrow0xf29b…961e | No | 57 | 8.8¢ | $3 | — |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | No | 55 | 6.1¢ | $3 | — |
| ox9614b59508B11504bDA8Ac4FDFBEFc2f92d8D2170x9614…d217 | Yes | 3 | 96.8¢ | $3 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | No | 44 | 6.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 42 | 6.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | No | 42 | 9.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 40 | 5.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4307…37ac | Yes | 2 | 93.0¢ | $2 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 2 | 97.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 2 | 94.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 22 | 4.7¢ | $1 | — |
| test1gsera0xd2b7…aa24 | No | 20 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| notimetodie0xf05d…8a4d | No | 20 | 8.0¢ | $1 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | No | 18 | 3.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 2,023 bets |
| 0x1d58…db51 | No | 11 | 9.9¢ | $1 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 11 | 6.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| 0x2f7c…208a | No | 4 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 4 | 5.5¢ | $0 | — |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 2 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.43 per $100 · 38,405+ bets · updating |
| eatMaker0x073e…8416 | No | 1 | 5.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucifergotlucky0x53d5…d88c | No | 1 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| korda770xa328…4977 | No | 1 | 6.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| 0xf7cb…01ed | Yes | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | No | 0 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa3c2…df3d | No | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.04 per $100 · 45,677+ bets · updating |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 0 | 7.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | No | 0 | 5.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| huy670x3ef6…1091 | No | 0 | 6.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | No | 0 | 5.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| Araf.0x79ef…1c97 | No | 0 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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US 2026 midterms · 663 events · $32.2M in play