Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 25.4¢ | +2.4 pts |
| $10,000 | 53.9¢ | +30.9 pts |
| $100,000 | 83.7¢ | +60.7 pts |
| $500,000 | 94.7¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 22¢.
About $783 can be bought and $436 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 23.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 10:19 UTC.
Iranian Regime Collapse · Before 2028 · 8 events · $5.13M in play