Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milksheen0xd872…dfae | Yes | 1,796 | 85.6¢ | $1.44K | — |
| 2Sherlock0xbd81…006d | Yes | 726 | 87.9¢ | $582 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 500 |
| 84.6¢ |
| $401 |
| — |
| pragmat1sm0x8841…c2d3 | Yes | 490 | 87.9¢ | $393 | — |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | No | 1,909 | 11.8¢ | $380 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| twerk4hv0x4aac…ced2 | Yes | 448 | 86.9¢ | $359 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.07M in play