Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | No | 1,119 | 87.5¢ | $968 | Proven+$6.23 per $100 · 4,942 bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | No | 116 | 91.0¢ | $100 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 86 | 88.2¢ | $74 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x8df9…468c | Yes | 455 | 11.4¢ | $61 | — |
| Yeahsingularityyah0xee82…fd8c | Yes | 284 | 7.3¢ | $38 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 40 | 90.0¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 22,612 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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