Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 1,594 | 49.9¢ | $933 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | No | 1,170 | 54.4¢ | $685 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,205 | 55.7¢ | $500 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | 800 | 40.0¢ | $332 | Positive+$2.88 per $100 · 1,252 bets |
| Computerdude1110xf186…09b0 | Yes | 728 | 49.4¢ | $302 | — |
| pragmat1sm0x8841…c2d3 | Yes | 660 | 49.2¢ | $274 | — |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 97 events · $6.03M in play