Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | No | 795 | 90.6¢ | $740 | Proven+$6.23 per $100 · 4,942 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 366 | 9.8¢ | $25 | Losing |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 19 | 90.3¢ | $18 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 16 | 97.1¢ | $15 | — |
| Kaseopa0xb232…6438 | No | 7 | 93.2¢ | $6 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 90 | 10.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play