Market · 5 of 5 outcomes
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olcan0x355e…a038 | No | 795 | 90.6¢ | $740 | Proven+$6.27 per $100 · 4,948 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 366 | 9.8¢ | $25 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 19 | 90.3¢ | $18 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | No | 16 | 97.1¢ | $15 | — |
| Kaseopa0xb232…6438 | No | 7 | 93.2¢ | $6 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 90 | 10.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| rumbam0xf3d3…ad06 | Yes | 87 | 5.9¢ | $6 | — |
| moonrise-clump0x48c4…19e5 | No | 6 | 89.4¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 74 | 6.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | Yes | 61 | 14.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| zzzfff0x9010…d06f | Yes | 41 | 4.0¢ | $3 | — |
| mauro3210x84e9…36b0 | Yes | 21 | 4.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 10.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 17 | 8.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 0xcbdd…e4ed | Yes | 16 | 6.6¢ | $1 | — |
| tanirus0x9765…a019 | Yes | 14 | 7.4¢ | $1 | — |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 14 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.89 per $100 · 8,678 bets |
| 0x018a…9522 | Yes | 10 | 17.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 7 | 7.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 0 | 92.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| Anony7770x3d77…7004 | Yes | 3 | 11.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 0 | 5.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,736 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.04M in play