Market · 4 of 8 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 13.5¢ | +3.0 pts |
| $10,000 | 26.2¢ | +15.7 pts |
| $100,000 | 58.2¢ | +47.7 pts |
| $500,000 | 66.7¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 10¢.
About $521 can be bought and $315 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 10.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 04:23 UTC.
Brazil Presidential Runoff Margin · 2026 · 1 event · $141K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.