Market · 4 of 8 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 11.5¢ | +2.0 pts |
| $10,000 | 23.2¢ | +13.7 pts |
| $100,000 | 56.7¢ | +47.2 pts |
| $500,000 | 64.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 9¢.
About $837 can be bought and $1.18K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 9.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 12:52 UTC.
Brazil Presidential Runoff Margin · 2026 · 1 event · $151K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.