Market · 4 of 8 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 10.2¢ | +1.7 pts |
| $10,000 | 22.7¢ | +14.2 pts |
| $100,000 | 54.6¢ | +46.1 pts |
| $500,000 | 64.0¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 8¢.
About $954 can be bought and $500 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 8.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 07:43 UTC.
Brazil Presidential Runoff Margin · 2026 · 1 event · $151K in play
Exactly one of this event's 8 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
103 traders bet this week.