Market · 5 of 12 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snoorrason0x805a…0635 | No | 138 | 90.0¢ | $131 | Positive+$2.75 per $100 · 6,247 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 97.1¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 177 | 9.9¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| 0x0fca…90de | Yes | 158 | 3.0¢ | $9 | New96 settled bets |
| Blackrock0x1b2f…5c5e | No | 8 | 96.2¢ | $7 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 61 | 4.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 26 | 2.4¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 5 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 96.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 686 events · $32.4M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.