Market · 7 of 12 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 37.7¢ | +31.7 pts |
| $10,000 | 77.0¢ | +71.0 pts |
| $100,000 | 94.5¢ | +88.5 pts |
| $500,000 | 96.0¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 3¢.
About $33 can be bought and $16 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 6.0¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 17:57 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 716 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.