Market · 5 of 12 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 34.2¢ | +26.9 pts |
| $10,000 | 54.7¢ | +47.4 pts |
| $100,000 | 82.1¢ | +74.8 pts |
| $500,000 | 90.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 6¢.
About $44 can be bought and $11 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 7.4¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 05:07 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 653 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.