Market · 8 of 12 outcomes
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 34.1¢ | +30.7 pts |
| $10,000 | 71.1¢ | +67.7 pts |
| $100,000 | 89.5¢ | +86.1 pts |
| $500,000 | 93.5¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $12 can be bought and $3 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 3.4¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 23:55 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 726 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.