Market · 1 of 6 outcomes
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 1,356 | 71.6¢ | $651 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 1,163 | 18.5¢ | $605 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 646 | 58.0¢ | $310 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 0x4025…3644 | Yes | 477 | 41.2¢ | $248 | — |
| WunnaWun0xe562…4fa9 | Yes | 321 | 30.2¢ | $167 | — |
| molodoyy0x564f…7026 | No | 335 | 60.0¢ | $161 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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Anthropic valuation & IPO · 97 events · $6.03M in play