Market · 4 of 6 outcomes
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rumpelstiltskin0xfb1b…a11d | No | 931 | 76.5¢ | $759 | — |
| Started-with-20-USD0x4388…5050 | No | 654 | 77.9¢ | $533 | Proven+$14.81 per $100 · 3,730 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,103 | 18.5¢ | $204 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 559 | 24.0¢ | $103 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 40 | 80.5¢ | $33 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | No | 38 | 79.7¢ | $31 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play