Market · 3 of 6 outcomes
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | No | 864 | 60.2¢ | $609 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,426 bets |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | Yes | 410 | 38.9¢ | $121 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 342 | 23.4¢ | $101 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| Rumpelstiltskin0xfb1b…a11d | No | 65 | 45.0¢ | $46 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 42 | 64.8¢ | $30 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| infoowl0xbeb1…2630 | No | 39 | 26.0¢ | $27 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play