Market · 3 of 6 outcomes
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | No | 864 | 60.2¢ | $635 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,426 bets |
| mewmew10xe95e…61f2 | Yes | 410 | 38.9¢ | $109 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 1,290 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 342 | 23.4¢ | $91 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| Rumpelstiltskin0xfb1b…a11d | No | 65 | 45.0¢ | $48 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 42 | 64.8¢ | $31 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 60 | 36.3¢ | $16 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 60 | 16.0¢ | $16 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,847 bets |
| 66s0xddce…7194 | No | 21 | 82.0¢ | $15 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 20 | 81.6¢ | $15 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 47 | 42.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,719 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 33 | 42.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 25 | 21.3¢ | $7 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 20 | 23.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 13 | 22.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 1 | 71.8¢ | $1 | — |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 1 | 29.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| ZhouCD0xa89c…1410 | Yes | 1 | 26.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.33 per $100 · 815 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.06M in play