Market · 5 of 6 outcomes
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | No | 560 | 78.8¢ | $490 | — |
| richardd0x34cb…7588 | No | 99 | 78.3¢ | $87 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 534 | 19.0¢ | $67 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 60 | 81.6¢ | $53 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | No | 25 | 82.0¢ | $22 | — |
| UpTheStairs0x8bac…5b0e | No | 20 | 70.0¢ | $18 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 95 events · $6.03M in play