Market · 5 of 6 outcomes
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $60 in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | No | 560 | 78.8¢ | $490 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,426 bets |
| richardd0x34cb…7588 | No | 99 | 78.3¢ | $87 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 534 | 19.0¢ | $67 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,511+ bets · updating |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 60 | 81.6¢ | $53 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,047 bets |
| parameter10xae91…0f69 | No | 25 | 82.0¢ | $22 | — |
| UpTheStairs0x8bac…5b0e | No | 20 | 70.0¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 20 | 85.5¢ | $18 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 16 | 82.5¢ | $14 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 112 | 21.5¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 71 | 26.8¢ | $9 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 12.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 20 | 24.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | Yes | 20 | 15.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 13 | 12.0¢ | $2 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 10 | 24.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 69.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 102 events · $6.08M in play